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<channel>
	<title>Rug Pundits &#187; Jakob Steiner</title>
	<atom:link href="http://rugpundits.com/author/jakob/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://rugpundits.com</link>
	<description>From the other side of the fence</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Mon, 08 Mar 2010 23:34:42 +0000</lastBuildDate>
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		<title>3 J&#8217;s rather than 3 D&#8217;s</title>
		<link>http://rugpundits.com/2010/03/09/3-js-rather-than-3-ds/</link>
		<comments>http://rugpundits.com/2010/03/09/3-js-rather-than-3-ds/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 08 Mar 2010 23:34:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jakob Steiner</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Article]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Asides]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Robert Swope]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://rugpundits.com/?p=505</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[While the West wants the 3 D approach in AfPak (Democracy/Diplomacy, Development and Defence &#8211; see e.g. Robert Swope&#8217;s page), Nawa&#8217;i Waqt has another option: 3 J (Jamhooriyat, Jihad and Johari Silahiyat).
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>While the West wants the 3 D approach in AfPak (Democracy/Diplomacy, Development and Defence &#8211; see e.g. <a href="http://www.robertswope.com/" target="_blank">Robert Swope&#8217;s page</a>), Nawa&#8217;i Waqt has <a href="http://www.nawaiwaqt.com.pk/pakistan-news-newspaper-daily-urdu-online/National/08-Mar-2010/22518" target="_blank">another option: 3 J</a> (Jamhooriyat, Jihad and Johari Silahiyat).</p>
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		<title>War is a terrible thing.</title>
		<link>http://rugpundits.com/2010/03/08/war-is-a-terrible-thing/</link>
		<comments>http://rugpundits.com/2010/03/08/war-is-a-terrible-thing/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 07 Mar 2010 22:25:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jakob Steiner</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Article]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Asides]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Iraq]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sam Smith]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://rugpundits.com/?p=498</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A history of the Iraq war, told entirely in lies
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.harpers.org/archive/2003/10/0079780" target="_blank">A history of the Iraq war, told entirely in lies</a></p>
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		<item>
		<title>Bagdad&#8217;s Black Sunday</title>
		<link>http://rugpundits.com/2010/03/07/bagdads-black-sunday/</link>
		<comments>http://rugpundits.com/2010/03/07/bagdads-black-sunday/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 07 Mar 2010 14:25:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jakob Steiner</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Asides]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Video]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Blackwater/Xe]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Iraq]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jeremy Scahill]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://rugpundits.com/?p=495</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Nisar Square Shooting
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href='http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=68jAnTh18TY&#038;feature=player_embedded' >Nisar Square Shooting</a></p>
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		<title>US &#8220;presence&#8221; in Pakistan</title>
		<link>http://rugpundits.com/2010/03/06/us-presence-in-pakistan/</link>
		<comments>http://rugpundits.com/2010/03/06/us-presence-in-pakistan/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 06 Mar 2010 15:09:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jakob Steiner</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Article]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Report]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Other View]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Aid]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Greg Mortenson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Todd Shea]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://rugpundits.com/?p=486</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Financial support to Pakistan by the US is extensive, discussions about the security of the state's personel there ongoing (here and here) but all the foreigners I see on the ground are non-US citizens. In 4 years in Lahore, Kashmir, the Northern Areas, the Tribal Areas and Peshawar I have met 4 American Nationals. I do not count my visits to horrible expat paries in Isloo with tipsy girls and tough guys or my encounter with well-built guys on the airport, who had a special escort past the queue and were obviously not here to taste Daal or learn a foreign language but to look grim and foster a clicheed, conspirational Xe-image, US citizens based in Pakistan nowadays have.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Financial support to Pakistan by the US is <a href="http://www.chapatimystery.com/archives/noted/99_problems_but_aid_aint_one.html" target="_blank">extensive</a>, discussions about the security of the state&#8217;s personel there ongoing (<a href="http://www.dawn.com/wps/wcm/connect/dawn-content-library/dawn/news/pakistan/03-us-calls-for-stop-to-harassment-of-american-diplomats-ss-04" target="_blank">here</a> and <a href="http://www.dawn.com/wps/wcm/connect/dawn-content-library/dawn/news/pakistan/16-us+to+form+quick+reaction+force+in+pakistan-hs-04" target="_blank">here</a>) but all the foreigners I see on the ground are non-US citizens. In 4 years in Lahore, Kashmir, the Northern Areas, the Tribal Areas and Peshawar I have met 4 American Nationals (1 who lived briefly in Lahore, 3 living permanently in the North running <a href="http://www.losthorizontreks.com" target="_blank">Lost Horizon</a> in Gilgit, a school and other wonderful initiatives). I do not count my visits to horrible expat paries in Isloo with tipsy girls and tough guys or my encounter with well-built guys on the airport, who had a special escort past the queue and were obviously not here to taste Haleem or learn a foreign language but to look grim and foster a clicheed, conspirational Xe-image, US citizens based in Pakistan nowadays have.</p>
<p>Other nationals I met in big numbers, French and Japanese especially, Austrians, Chinese, Italian, Norwegian and German working in private business, as teachers, journalists or in the NGO sector. I met these people in the country, not just behind walled DHA mansions. But where are the Americans who make sure that all that money is actually spent as aid and not just contributed to be able to show off high numbers and use them as a leverage? Where are the Americans who explain Ann Patterson what happens outside her armoured vehicle, outside her Embassy compound, who explain Holebrook what&#8217;s going on while he is not there? Continuously relying on Pakistani informants who they then can blame again of not cooperating enough seems to be the credo.</p>
<p>Especially Japan, who is equally contributing extensive amounts of money in development projects in Pakistan, is showing how &#8220;Aid&#8221; actually becomes Aid (how extensive &#8220;Aid&#8221; can be counterproductive, erroding local structures is shown <a href="http://www.reliefweb.int/rw/rwb.nsf/retrieveattachments?openagent&amp;shortid=KHII-8264AH&amp;file=Full_Report.pdf" target="_blank">here</a> on a recent example). They send well trained staff, most speaking one Pakistani language already when they arrive, who do not need armoured cars for safe passage but work without much clamour about their contribution. I know Japanese who rode a bycicle from Cantonement (Lhr) to Lower Mall where their office was (training police officers), who acted in Punjabi stage plays and the women were so adapted that they mounted the motor bike side-saddle. Of course, not being heavily involved in the area politically or in connection with the &#8220;war on terror&#8221; they are less a target for possible aggresion from locals. But that doens&#8217;t count as an argument, since people like <a href="http://www.gregmortenson.com/" target="_blank">Greg Mortensen</a> or<a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SVdXcKeaQtY" target="_blank"> Todd Shea</a> seem to manage.</p>
<p><strong>(Update:</strong> my bad, they actually do <a href="http://www.dailytimes.com.pk/sunday/Default.aspx?c=eye_spy_c.html" target="_blank">mingle in public</a>, she is the head of the consulate in Lahore &#8211; I really miss &#8220;Eye Spy&#8221; for Sunday breakfasts!)</p>
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		<title>Pak Army Publicity Stunt Department</title>
		<link>http://rugpundits.com/2010/03/06/pak-army-publicity-stunt-department/</link>
		<comments>http://rugpundits.com/2010/03/06/pak-army-publicity-stunt-department/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 06 Mar 2010 14:23:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jakob Steiner</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Article]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Asides]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Other View]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Video]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Andrew Exum]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bajaur]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://rugpundits.com/?p=483</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Western media seems to buy everything from the Pakistani Publicity Stunt Department and blow it up to an even bigger extent that probably even Athar Abbas has to laught at. ABC News pays specialists (in this case Abu Muqawama) to make judgments from propaganda material, that are obvious (&#8221;they left in a hurry, otherwise [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Western media seems to buy everything from the Pakistani Publicity Stunt Department and blow it up to an even bigger extent that probably even Athar Abbas has to laught at. ABC News pays specialists (in this case <a href="http://www.cnas.org/blogs/abumuqawama" target="_blank">Abu Muqawama</a>) to make judgments from propaganda material, that are obvious (&#8221;they left in a hurry, otherwise thy would have taken the weapons&#8221;) and exagerates what&#8217;s already there &#8211; <a href="http://abcnews.go.com/WN/Blotter/network-150-al-qaeda-caves-captured-afghan-border/story?id=10000854&amp;page=1" target="_blank">&#8220;a deadly house tour&#8221; &#8220;taking you deep into the mountain&#8221;</a> &#8211; I estimate that would be about 4 meters.</p>
<p>Bajauris singing &#8220;Pakistan Zindabad&#8221; where probably paid by the Army to do so and the Dhol Wallah had to be flown in from Lahore.</p>
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		<title>Rethinking interests</title>
		<link>http://rugpundits.com/2010/03/06/rethinking-interests/</link>
		<comments>http://rugpundits.com/2010/03/06/rethinking-interests/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 06 Mar 2010 13:34:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jakob Steiner</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Article]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Other View]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AfPak]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ahmed Rashid]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Raul R. Pillar]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://rugpundits.com/?p=480</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Raul R. Pillar is probably right with his theory , that terrorists (foremost al-Qaeda) do not necessarily need Afghanistan as a safe haven to attack the US in future and that the presence of US troops in the area should not be justified with just this target – to eradicate such breeding places. ]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Raul R. Pillar is probably right with his theory , that terrorists  (foremost al-Qaeda) do not necessarily need Afghanistan as a safe haven  to attack the US in future and that the presence of US troops in the  area should not be justified with just this target – to eradicate such  breeding places. Also he draws a reasonable parallel to the Vietnam war  (most of those Afghanistan-Vietnam parallels being mostly far fetched)  in saying, that the Johnson administration overestimated the effect a  communist Vietnam might have on the surrounding east Asian states and  likewise the Obama administration and its supporters may be wrong  assuming that an unstable Afghanistan will pull Pakistan and other  Central Asian states in (other authors have claimed rightly, that during  Afghan Taliban rule, the situation in Pakistan was a lot more stable  than it is nowadays!).</p>
<p>But I fail to see, why this conclusion  allows us to immediately jump to the assumption, that US presence (and  probably the whole NATO presence as well, since when the US would leave,  countries like Germany and Britain will hardly be made to stay) should  be stopped in the region. Is our only target to make sure we are not  attacked from a make-shift camp by bearded men? Are we only worried  about having blood in our own streets? What about the countries of the  region? Afghanistan is economically and educationally speaking in a dire  situation, major areas in Pakistan are not doing any better and  countries like Turkmenistan and Kirgizstan are neither sporting  promising records. While other nations like Japan and Norway have long  understood, that making a difference in this region takes patience, time  and skilled labour we are only discussing money, arms and our own  casualties.</p>
<p>As Ahmed Rashid recently pointed out to <a href="http://harmonybeat.blogspot.com/2009/08/happy-independence-day.html" target="_blank">one of the  few Americans</a> who were venturing Pakistan outside their Islamabad  embassy recently &#8220;You want to win over the people? Show me one school  the Americans have built. Show me a road, a hospital, a railway.&#8221; .  Other European countries (with a few exceptions) have an equally poor  record. Some NGOs pull in after major disasters but leave soon after.  There is seldom a long term commitment. As Rashid has pointed out in his  recent book , the opportunity for Nation Building may have already  passed, and other writers have argued that the US should not linger  around anymore with this argument, since its record was poor enough in  this respect . But an effort to bring a lasting peace to the region and  aim for an economic development including surrounding regions (Iran,  Xinjiang, Balochistan, Ferghana) should be made and attempted now. This  does at the moment still include army presence, the Afghan army and  police are far away from managing the situation themselves and the  Pakistanis can in this regard unfortunately still not be trusted  (especially the ISI). But while dismembering al-Qaeda should still be a  good reason to stay and even enlarge CIA presence , there are other  issues apart from our homeland security, that should make us aware of  our responsibilities abroad.</p>
<p><span style="font-style: italic;">Further  Reading</span></p>
<p><a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/09/15/AR2009091502977.html" target="_blank">Who’s Afraid of A Terrorist Haven?</a>; Washington  Post, 16th of September 2009</p>
<p>Rashid, Ahmed; Descent into Chaos – The United States and the failure  of Nation Building in Pakistan, Afghanistan and Central Asia; Allan Lane  2009</p>
<p><a href="http://www.realisticforeignpolicy.org/archives/2009/09/coalition_issue.php" target="_blank"> http://www.realisticforeignpolicy.org/archives/2009/09/coalition_issue.php</a></p>
<p><a href="http://www.zeit.de/politik/ausland/2009-09/afghanistan-cia-ausbau" target="_blank"> http://www.zeit.de/politik/ausland/2009-09/afghanistan-cia-ausbau</a></p>
<p>[originally posted on 20/09/2009 on <a href="http://here-ware.blogspot.com" target="_blank">here-ware</a>]</p>
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		<title>pundit mayhem</title>
		<link>http://rugpundits.com/2010/03/06/pundit-mayhem/</link>
		<comments>http://rugpundits.com/2010/03/06/pundit-mayhem/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 06 Mar 2010 13:29:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jakob Steiner</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Report]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Other View]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Katherine Tiedemann]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://rugpundits.com/?p=478</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Experts on AfPak sprout out of the ground like mushrooms - everyone gets his go at what it's all really about and what should have been done in the first place or what the future will definitely look like. While one would expect, that having so many smart people around who all know so much about this place that noone really seems to understand, the picture would become more clear, the floods of opinions and predictions on the topic just make the situation worse.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Experts on AfPak sprout out of the ground like mushrooms &#8211; everyone gets  his go at what it&#8217;s all really about and what should have been done in  the first place or what the future will definitely look like. While one  would expect, that having so many smart people around who all know so  much about this place that noone really seems to understand, the picture  would become more clear, the floods of opinions and predictions on the  topic just make the situation worse.</p>
<p>Think Tanks like the Foreign  Policy AfPak channel, a source I generally trust generates news on the  area faster than the truth can run. Tiedemann writes that the <a href="http://afpak.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2009/10/01/daily_brief_taliban_chiefs_brother_reportedly_killed">FATA  is a &#8220;lawless region&#8221;</a> &#8211; just because it doesn&#8217;t obey American law  doesn&#8217;t mean its without any of it. The way many experts shape our image  of this area is dangerous &#8211; the wrong perception we get leads us  inevitably to wrong decisions.</p>
<p>Information that we is just as  disheartening but at least not manipulated by opinion-shapers are the <a href="http://www.iri.org/newsreleases/2009-10-01-IRI_Releases_Survey_of_Pakistan_Public_Opinion.asp">newest  opinion polls of the Pakistani public by IRI</a>.</p>
<p>An interesting  discussion highlighting what the people in Pakistan think of it all is <a href="http://www.lumsdailystudent.com/news/story.php?id=456">currently  raging at LUMS</a>, already discussed in the <a href="http://blog.dawn.com:91/dblog/2009/10/02/the-love-life-of-lums-students/">national  media</a>. As far as I understand the issue, these discussions are on  the one side reason for optimism (ultimately these people (Pakistanis  and Afghanis, Central Asians) will find a solution to the whole mess of  the area, not the &#8220;experts&#8221; around the US and Europe), on the other  side, they do still point in an ideologic direction which I find  worrisome.</p>
<p>[originally posted on 1/10/2009 at <a href="http://here-ware.blogspot.com" target="_blank">here-ware</a>]</p>
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		<title>on pakistani identity</title>
		<link>http://rugpundits.com/2010/03/05/on-pakistani-identity/</link>
		<comments>http://rugpundits.com/2010/03/05/on-pakistani-identity/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Mar 2010 13:49:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jakob Steiner</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Article]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Asides]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Abdolmalek Rigi]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Barack Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://rugpundits.com/?p=475</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Two new Pakistani Nationals and NADRA a mess: Hussein here and Malek here.
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Two new Pakistani Nationals and NADRA a mess: <a href="http://www.chapatimystery.com/archives/noted/yes_xi.html" target="_blank">Hussein here</a> and <a href="http://www.dawn.com/wps/wcm/connect/dawn-content-library/dawn/the-newspaper/editorial/14-nadra-in-trouble-530-zj-08" target="_blank">Malek here</a>.</p>
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		<title>Illinois &#8211; Peshawar / insights from a pashtun teen</title>
		<link>http://rugpundits.com/2010/02/22/illinois-peshawar-insights-from-a-pashtun-teen/</link>
		<comments>http://rugpundits.com/2010/02/22/illinois-peshawar-insights-from-a-pashtun-teen/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 22 Feb 2010 13:16:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jakob Steiner</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Asides]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://rugpundits.com/?p=431</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Report from a pashtun teen.
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://kristof.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/02/18/report-from-a-pashtun-teen/" target="_blank">Report from a pashtun teen.</a></p>
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		<title>Looking for trust &#8211; in the wrong place.</title>
		<link>http://rugpundits.com/2010/02/21/looking-for-trust-in-the-wrong-place/</link>
		<comments>http://rugpundits.com/2010/02/21/looking-for-trust-in-the-wrong-place/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 21 Feb 2010 09:41:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jakob Steiner</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Article]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Other View]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ashfaq Kayani]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ISI]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Max Fisher]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Michael Crowley]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Michael Mullen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://rugpundits.com/?p=415</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Western media, especially after Mullah Abdul Ghani Akhund and some other high-up Talibans where pinned down by ISI/CIA, are trying to understand the ISI and the Pakistani army again. When news of Ghani's arrest broke, the first reaction was "yeah, finally they do what we want", only to be immediately followed by "I am sure they are tricking us again" (claiming that the ISI captured him in Karachi making sure he could be kept in their custody and wouldn't be interrogated by ISAF/CIA at Bagram, Penetta yesterday requested a transfer there)]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Western media, especially after Mullah Abdul Ghani Akhund and some other high-up Talibans where pinned down by ISI/CIA, are trying to understand the ISI and the Pakistani army again. When news of Ghani&#8217;s arrest broke, the first reaction was &#8220;yeah, finally they do what we want&#8221;, only to be immediately followed by &#8220;I am sure they are tricking us again&#8221; (claiming that the ISI captured him in Karachi making sure he could be kept in their custody and wouldn&#8217;t be interrogated by ISAF/CIA at Bagram, Penetta yesterday requested a transfer there). The media is trying to judge how the ISI and Kayani may tick from news reports, while the journalists themself have probably never even met an ISI officer in person.</p>
<p>Yes of course they are tricking the CIA and the Americans. They always have and will do until we learn to speak their language, until we are willing to listen to them and understand their demands as well. We are not. The West wants the ISI to cooperate for its own National security and not for Pakistani interests &#8211; just telling them &#8220;but the Taliban are your enemy too&#8221;, something Pakistan understands is obviously not enough.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.tnr.com/article/world/islamabad-boys" target="_blank">Michael Crowley at the New Republic.</a></p>
<p><a href="http://politics.theatlantic.com/2010/02/the_pakistani_general_who_could_save_or_doom_afghanistan.php" target="_blank">Max Fisher at the Atlantic.</a></p>
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